Fairfield
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 93.0322Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 3- 5 214 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 0- 5 214 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 1- 5 227 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 2- 3 228 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 0- 3 301 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 6- 2 310 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 6- 4 318 A George Washington A10 ( 4- 3, 91.4) 3- 7 428 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 10-12 520 H Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 6- 3 521 A Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 4- 3 522 A Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 1- 5 522 A Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 9- 2 523 H Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 1- 6 523 A Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 12- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Coastal Carolina 3- 5 -2 -3 1.13
214 A Coastal Carolina 0- 5 -5 -3 -1.87
214 A Coastal Carolina 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.87
227 A Elon 2- 3 -1 0 -1.46
228 A Elon 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.46
301 H Ole Miss 6- 2 4 -4 +++ 7.96
310 A St. John's 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.80
318 A George Washington 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.95
428 H Stony Brook 10-12 -2 1 - -3.25
520 H Marist 6- 3 3 2 0.97
521 A Niagara 4- 3 1 3 - -2.30
522 A Rider 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.01
522 A Niagara 9- 2 7 3 + 3.70
523 H Rider 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.36
523 A Rider 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A George Washington 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.95 523 H Rider 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.36 228 A Elon 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.46 428 H Stony Brook 10-12 -2 1 - -3.25 521 A Niagara 4- 3 1 3 - -2.30 522 A Rider 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Ole Miss 6- 2 4 -4 +++ 7.96 523 A Rider 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.99 310 A St. John's 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.80 522 A Niagara 9- 2 7 3 + 3.70 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 3- 5 -4.42 14.01 0.68 1.93 -3.61
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 0- 5 -4.42 14.01 0.68 1.93 -3.61
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 1- 5 -4.42 14.01 0.68 1.93 -3.61
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 2- 3 -8.00 10.43 0.68 1.93 -7.06
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 0- 3 -8.00 10.43 0.68 1.93 -7.06
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 6- 2 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 1.93 59.85
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 6- 4 -5.75 12.68 0.68 1.93 51.49
3 A George Washing ( 4- 3, 91.4) 3- 7 -8.49 9.93 0.68 1.93 -7.54
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 10-12 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 1.93 -7.82
3 H Marist ( 3-11, 91.7) 6- 3 -8.22 10.21 -0.68 1.93 36.75
3 A Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 4- 3 -10.85 7.58 0.68 1.93 31.83
3 A Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 1- 5 -5.56 12.87 0.68 1.93 -4.70
3 A Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 9- 2 -10.85 7.58 0.68 1.93 31.83
3 H Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 1- 6 -5.56 12.87 -0.68 1.93 -6.01
3 A Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 12- 7 -5.56 12.87 0.68 1.93 52.24
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212.97
|
winning pts = 263.9869 losing points = -51.0141
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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